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Gone are the days when you knew Robert Lewandowski would walk away with the Bundesliga Golden Boot before the season even began.  

Now, with the legendary Polish striker having swapped endless bottles of celebratory beer and champagne in Munich for Barcelona’s sunny warmth, a three-way battle to see who succeeds the Polish striker as new king of the Bundesliga. 

Vfb Stuttgart’s Guinean striker Serhou Guirassy leads the way with 13 goals in just 7 league games, but Victor Boniface and Harry Kane are not far behind.  

In this piece, we examine all three strikers to determine who the likeliest winner of the Golden Boot could be at the end of the season. 


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**3. Victor Boniface | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 Goals** 

Super Eagles of Nigeria and Leverkusen striker Victor Boniface has been a revelation since joining Xabi Alonso’s side from Belgian club Royale Union SG in the summer. Talk about the complete striker: Pace, power, and high-level finishing are all tools the Nigerian marksman has in his locker. 

He began the season by registering an assist in the 3-2 win against Leipzig before scoring a brace in his next two German top-flight outings.  

Boniface became only the second ever player - and first since Erling Haaland in January 2020 - to win both the Bundesliga Rookie of the Month and Player of the Month awards in the same month (August), and he added the September Rookie award to his collection, helped by another brace against Heidenheim. 

 

**Underlying stats** 

Boniface has been the focal point of a three-pronged attack, along with Jonas Hoffman and Florian Wirtz. His ability to bring others into play, means he is not relied on to score all the goals, as evidenced by Hoffman’s 5 league goals. Still, the Nigerian is required to take his chances when presented with them, and he has done that spectacularly.  

He has scored 7 goals from 17 shots on target and an xG of 7.9. So, why is he 3rd on our list? Well, Boniface is averaging 6.2 shots per game and hitting the target with just 2 of them. While more shots equals more chances of hitting the target, it does indicate wayward finishing and an inability to consistently test the keeper until given multiple opportunities.  

Another factor that perhaps counts against the 22-year-old is that he is not Leverkusen’s designated penalty taker, a sure-fire way to rack up the goals.  

Despite this, we expect Boniface to battle until the end in a free-scoring Leverkusen side, scoring crucial goals and firing them into next year’s UEFA Champions League group stages.  

The Golden Boot may be a step too far for the Nigerian but can his goals lead Xabi Alonso’s men to an unexpected Bundesliga triumph? Time will tell.  

Leverkusen are in action against Wolfsburg this weekend, our bet of the day is Boniface to find the net in a narrow win. 

[Read More: Boniface, Guirassy & Africa’s hottest players of 2023](https://m.betking.com/blog/news/osimhen-in-onana-out-the-most-in-form-african-players-in-europe/) 

● Bet on Boniface to score against Wolfsburg 

● Bet on Leverkusen to defeat Wolfsburg & over 2.5 

● Bet on Boniface to win the Bundesliga Golden Boot 

**2. Serhou Guirassy | Vfb Stuttgart | 13 Goals** 

Guirassy has been unplayable this season. The 27-year-old sits top of the goals chart with 13, 5 clear of his closest challenger. He has been the story of the Bundesliga by all accounts. 

 At 27, it suffices to ask where he’s been this whole time. Well, his European sojourn has taken him from France, with Lille, Amiens, and Rennes to Germany – First with Koln and then Stuttgart, who took him on loan in the 2022-23 season. 

After impressing while on loan at Stuttgart (14 goals in 28 games), The Bundesliga side decided to make his loan move permanent, and what an inspired decision that has turned out to be. 

Guirassy began the 2023/24 campaign by scoring eight goals with eight shots on target in his first four top-flight games for Die Roten, a feat never before achieved by any player at the club.  

He added another two in the 3-1 win over Darmstadt on Matchday 5 and bagged a second hat-trick of the season in a win over Wolfsburg on Matchday 7. 

His 13 goals in 7 games is a record-breaking feat, surpassing even the great Lewandowski, who needed 9 games to hit the same mark. 

 

**Underlying stats** 

So why do we have him 2nd on our list since he’s so prolific? Well, the underlying statistics tell a slightly different story.  

Football generally tends to follow trends and patterns, and these things usually even out in the end. With that in mind, let us take a look at Guirassy’s chances of continuing this outrageous goal scoring pattern. 

[He has 13 goals from 16 shots on target and an xG of 7.2](https://fbref.com/en/players/923f4dda/Serhou-Guirassy), overperforming his expected return by almost 6 goals. While outliers do occur, the likelier outcome is that this situation evens out over the course of the season. 

He has also been unusually lethal this season, which pales in comparison to his previous campaign, where he  

scored 14 goals in 28 games.  

Stuttgart are 2nd in the standings with 22 goals scored in 7 games and Guirassy has scored more than 50% of those goals. That massive over-reliance does not bode well for a team who were relegation candidates going into the season. 

Can he continue to overperform his xG by such a large margin? Or will it even out as the season progresses? In any event, while Guirassy has made an excellent start to the season, we expect his output to slow down as the campaign progresses. 

 
Enjoy Betking’s high odds by betting on the in-form Guirassy to score anytime against Union Berlin. 

● Bet on Guirassy to score against Union Berlin 

● Bet on Guirassy to win the Bundesliga Golden Boot 

**1.  Harry Kane | Bayern Munich | 8 Goals** 

Harry Kane has taken to life in the Bundesliga brilliantly, scoring, assisting, and reminding Bayern Munich fans what it feels like to have a prolific striker in their ranks.  

Living without Lewandowski was harder than the Bavarians expected and the Sadio Mane experiment failed miserably, through no fault of his, or anyone really.  

The Bayern system has always thrived with two speedy and innovative wingers flanking a lethal number 9, who can lead the line expertly. Kane is all of that and more and regularly has Leroy Sane, Kingsley Coman and Jamal Musiala breaking beyond him. The England captain is a supremely gifted footballer who can do just about anything- shoot with both feet, head the ball excellently, drop deep to link play and finish off chances with aplomb. 

 

**Underlying stats** 

He has scored 8 goals from 7 Bundesliga games this season, and provided 4 assists. [His 8 league goals have come from an xG of 6.8 and  just 9 shots on target](https://fbref.com/en/players/21a66f6a/Harry-Kane). Essentially, if Kane finds the target, there is usually no stopping it. 

To put those shooting stats into perspective, Kane is scoring from every 3 shots he takes (8 goals from 24 shots) and playing in a team that are expected to dominate every game they play in, it becomes even harder to bet against him winning the Golden Boot despite being 5 goals behind Guirassy at this stage. 

Kane is no stranger to Golden Boots, winning the award three times while at Tottenham, and he is on a run of 9 straight seasons scoring 24 goals or more – an outstanding feat. 

All of these, coupled with the fact that Bayern are once again overwhelming favourites to win Bundesliga presents a compelling case for the England captain to finish top of the charts at the end of the season. 

 

Take advantage of our professional betting tips and back Kane to continue his goalscoring form against Mainz this weekend. 

● Bet on Harry Kane to score anytime against Mainz 

● Bet on Bayern Munich to defeat Mainz & over 3.5 goals 

● Bet on Harry Kane to win the Bundesliga Golden Boot 

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There're three favorites for the Bundesliga Golden Boot: Kane, Guirassy, and Boniface. Find out what the odds are on each to win now!

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Boniface, Kane or Guirassy: Who wins Bundesliga’s exciting Golden Boot race?