Betting Tips

Win Big with BetKing: UEFA Champions League Round of 16 Second leg Betting Tips

by Ifeanyi Ufomadu


11 Mar 2025
Real Madrid players and head coach celebrating their 2024 UCL win

The UEFA Champions League first leg fixtures were thrilling - packed with goals, incredible saves, and goalkeeping masterclasses that left us all on the edge of our seats. 

Now, with the return legs here, the stakes are even higher with PSG, Atletico, and a few other teams staring down the barrel of an early elimination from the UCL and hopefully, paving the way for an exciting night of football for us watching at home. 

Here are our top betting tips + bet code for today. 

Our picks: 
Bet Builder: Barcelona to win & Lewandowski to score anytime @1.94 
Bet Builder: Harry Kane to score anytime + Over 1.5 goals @2.40 
Lautaro Martinez to score anytime @2.15 
Bet Builder: Liverpool win or draw + Salah to score anytime @2.80 
Bet Builder: Lille win or draw + over 1.5 goals @1.91 
Atletico vs Real Madrid: Full time draw @3.55 
Arsenal vs PSV: Over 2.5 goals @1.73 
Bet Builder: Aston Villa win + Over 1.5 goals @1.92 

 

Total Odds – 631.27 

Acca Bonus - 126,254.97 

Booking Code - YY2K8Q 
 

630x Booking Code - YY2K8Q

Barcelona vs Benfica  

Rapinha with his arms wide open and spread above his head, a la Bellingham

Barcelona played with 10 men from the 22nd minute but still managed to win 1-0 against Benfica in their Champions League first-leg clash last week. They haven't played since that game, after their weekend's game against Osasuna was postponed, and should be well-rested for this second leg. 

Hansi Flick's men look good value to advance, as they remain the only unbeaten team across all competitions in Europe's top-five leagues in 2025 (W13, D3). Playing at home should help them extend that run, as they're unbeaten in seven games there (W5, D2), scoring an average of 3.43 goals per match. 

Benfica, on the other hand, have won only three of their last 24 UEFA games against Spanish clubs (D8, L13). Bruno Lage's men shouldn't be short of confidence, though, as their 3-0 win against Nacional on Friday made it eight wins from their last 10 matches (D1, L1). They showed enough in that first leg to suggest they can make some noise, but Barcelona are way too strong, especially at home, and our full-time prediction is a home win. 

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Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich 

Kane (1).jpg

The fifth meeting of the season between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich will be the most important one yet for Xabi Alonso’s men, who face a herculean task after being thrashed 3-0 in the first leg. Only four teams in UEFA Champions League history have overturned a 3+ goal deficit from the first leg to progress. The last of which was Liverpool's remarkable comeback against Barcelona in 2019. 

Leverkusen's preparation for this game hasn't exactly gone smoothly. They lost 2-0 to Werder Bremen at the weekend, and to make matters worse, star player Florian Wirtz was stretchered off with an injury.  

Bayern, meanwhile, suffered a stunning 3-2 home loss to relegation-threatened Bochum, who took advantage of playing over half the game against ten men. With several key players rested, Vincent Kompany's men should be fresh as they look to reach the quarterfinals for the 35th time. 

Bayern have been vulnerable on their UCL travels this season, already suffering two away defeats by a three-goal margin, but we just can’t see them throwing this one away, especially with Leverkusen’s poor form.  

Harry Kane is also back to his goalscoring best after early season niggles, and our bet of the day is for Kompany’s men to advance. 

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Inter Milan vs Feyenoord 

Martinez.jpg

Inter had to dig deep last weekend to comeback from 2-0 down to defeat Serie A bottom club Monza. Perhaps that was the warning they needed to ensure they don't take their 2-0 UEFA Champions League lead against Feyenoord for granted. 

The Italians may also be contemplating last season's Round of 16 tie against Atlético Madrid, where they held a 1-0 first leg lead, only to lose the tie on penalties. This time, Inter have a two-goal advantage to defend at the San Siro, a venue where they haven't lost in 14 UCL matches (W12, D2), including a remarkable 8 clean sheets in their last 9 UCL games. 

Feyenoord, meanwhile, were granted the weekend off by the Dutch FA to focus on this trip to Italy. New head coach Robin van Persie boldly claimed his side are still in the tie following the 2-0 loss last week, but they will need a minor miracle to secure a first UCL quarter-finals appearance of this century. 

They've failed to win any of their last eight away matches against Italian sides in European competition (D3, L5), and are on a wretched away run of no wins in 6 games (D3, L3). Van Persie’s positivity is applauded but we believe this is the end of the road for the Dutch giants, and we are adding an Iter win to our bet code. 

  

Liverpool vs PSG 

Mohamed Salah and Ousmane Dembele

Liverpool will still be counting their lucky stars that they come into this second leg with a 1-0 lead after last week's battering at the hands of PSG. The Reds' defence was under siege the entire game, with Alisson making 9 saves to repel the likes of Ousmane Dembele and Bradley Barcola. 

However, you'd have to fancy Liverpool to avoid defeat at Anfield, especially as they've progressed from their last 30 European ties when they won the first leg away from home. In fact, French sides have won none of their last 15 visits to England overall (D1, L14), and PSG have lost their last four trips to face Premier League opposition. 

Luis Enrique's men will be desperate to bounce back, and confidence should be high after an emphatic 4-1 win at Rennes at the weekend. PSG are actually in fantastic form, and that defeat to Liverpool was their first loss in 15 games. Their style of play also means we could very well see them dominate at Anfield like they did at home, but they seem to lack that killer mentality in front of goal, and that is where they might come up short. 

Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 9 Champions League home games, and Alisson has never kept consecutive clean sheets in a two-legged UCL tie, which means there should be goals here. 

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Lille vs Borussia Dortmund 

Lille's Ngal'Ayel Mukau vs Dortmund's Karim AdeyemiPhoto Credit: Getty Images

This tie between Lille and Borussia Dortmund is perfectly poised after both sides played out an entertaining 1-1 draw in the first leg.  

Lille have a chance to reach a European quarter-final for only the second time in their history, and a run of 10 winss from their last 16 home games means they should fancy their chances of progressing (W10, D4, L2).  

They defeated Montpellier 1-0 on Saturday, which was only their second clean sheet in 13 matches, a feat they are unlikely to repeat here as Dortmund were the second highest scorers in the UCL league phase. 

Meanwhile, the visitors have won three of their last four away games (L1), scoring at least twice in each victory, but confidence took a hit on Saturday, when they lost 1-0 to Augsburg, keeping them in the bottom half of the Bundesliga table. 

Returning to Europe next season may depend on Champions League progression, but a mediocre record of four wins in their last 13 away matches against French opposition suggests they could struggle here. They got to the Champions League final last season, but it's hard to see that happening again. 

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid 

Rodrigo de Paul and Vinicius Junior exchanging words with their arms spread wide

Atlético Madrid have it all to do in the second leg of this Champions League last-16 tie against city rivals Real Madrid after losing the first leg 2-1 last week.  

Diego Simeone’s men must win at the very least to force the tie into extra time, but Sunday's 2-1 La Liga defeat to Getafe was hardly ideal preparation.  

However, hosting the second leg gives them a good chance, as they've only lost one of their last 14 UCL home games (W9, D4) and are unbeaten in UCL knockout fixtures at home since March 1997 (W11, D7). 

Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti was not getting carried away after the first-leg win, but admitted the result should provide confidence for the 15-time champions. History suggests that confidence is not misplaced, as they've only lost one of their last 22 UCL ties in which they won the first leg. 

Los Blancos are looking to reach the UCL quarterfinals for the fifth season in a row, and their pedigree in this competition means you can never bet against them. They have Kylian Mbappe, who scored again at the weekend to take his tally to 15 goals in the last 17 games, and as long as he’s firing, they always have a chance.  

While Atleti are strong at home, they haven’t beaten Ancelotti’s men in the last 4 attempts, and we can’t see them getting anything more than a draw here. 

 

Arsenal vs PSV 

Jurrien Timber jumping to head the ballPhoto Credit: Getty Images

Unless something miraculous happens, a comeback like we have never seen before, Arsenal should take their place in the Champions League quarter-finals for a second straight season after their 7-1 thrashing of PSV last week. 

Mikel Arteta may rest players ahead of their game against Chelsea, although the race for the Premier League title seems to be done and dusted, with Liverpool disappearing into the distance.  

The Gunners enter this match with the chance of earning a sixth consecutive UCL victory for the first time since 2005 under Arsene Wenger. Their success in Europe this season has largely come from their imperious home form, which has seen them win four-straight matches in this competition without conceding. 

PSV have had a tough time since knocking Juventus out of the UCL, with three straight defeats seeing them exit their domestic cup, lose ground in the Eredivisie title race, and effectively being eliminated from the UCL.  

After restoring some confidence with a league win over the weekend, PSV would have to match their biggest ever win in the UCL proper (6-0 vs Zalgiris, 1992/93) to even force extra time. 

PSV have conceded over two goals per game on average while keeping no clean sheets across their last 15 UCL away games, and while there are no certainties in football, we believe you can land a big win prediction by backing the Gunners here. 

 

Aston Villa vs Club Brugge 

Club Brugge's Raphael Onyedika vs Villa's Marcus RashfordPhoto Credit: Getty Images

Aston Villa are on the verge of reaching the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals, after their 3-1 first leg win over Club Brugge put them in a commanding position. Unai Emery's men have hit form at the right time, and their 1-0 win over Brentford at the weekend was their third straight win in all competitions. 

They've also progressed from 12 of their previous 14 major European ties when winning the first leg, making them firm favourites to finish the job at home.  

Meanwhile, Club Brugge bounced back from their first-leg disappointment with a 3-1 derby victory against Cercle Brugge, snapping their three-game winless run. 

However, they'll need to make history to overturn the 3-1 deficit, as they've never won successive Champions League away games and have never won in England. 

Even the most optimistic Brugge fan would struggle to be positive ahead of this one, and their record of 14 games without a win on English soil should quash any lingering hopes of a comeback (D2, L12).  

A great way to get value on your betting stake is to back Emery’s men to get the job done. 

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