by Chike Nwoye
Can’t believe we hit another 6/8 over the weekend. To be honest, the Manchester City vs. Leeds United having under 2.5 goals makes sense - once I saw Erling Haaland was out, I knew my luck had run dry. But the 3-3 thriller between AS Roma and Juventus? No clue. That’s the second time in two years I’ve called a low-scoring game for Juventus, and they’ve gone and thrown a goal fest instead.
Anyway, all eyes now turn to midweek. Arsenal head to Brighton, Michael Carrick’s unbeaten Manchester United face Newcastle, and there are two Coppa Italia clashes to watch. Of course, the key game will be at Camp Nou, where Barcelona will look to deliver another Remontada. I no go lie sha, I don’t think they can pull it off this time. But I was speaking to a Barcelona fan on Sunday, and he reminded me that no one thought they could pull it off back in 2017. Fair point. Anyway, here’s what we’re backing:
Our Picks:
| League | Fixture | Tips | Bet |
| Copa del Rey | Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid | Bet Builder: Yamal Goal + Over 1.5 Goals | Bet Now |
| EPL | Wolves vs. Liverpool | Liverpool 1UP | Bet Now |
| Coppa Italia | Como vs. Inter | Both Teams To Score | Bet Now |
| EPL | Brighton vs. Arsenal | Arsenal to Have More Cornerkicks | Bet Now |
| EPL | Newcastle vs. Man United | Newcastle 1UP | Bet Now |
| EPL | Aston Villa vs. Chelsea | Aston Villa 1UP | Bet Now |
| EPL | Man City vs. Forest | Under 3.5 Goals | Bet Now |
| Coppa Italia | Lazio vs. Atalanta | Atalanta 1UP | Bet Now |
| NBA | 76ers vs. Spurs | Spurs Win | Bet Now |
Barcelona hosts Atletico Madrid at Camp Nou on Tuesday in the second leg of their Copa del Rey semi-final, facing a near-impossible task after a 4-0 first-leg defeat in Madrid. The Blaugrana need a historic comeback to stay in the competition, while Los Rojiblancos can rely on composure and discipline to see the tie through. Now, I know what you’re all thinking - Remontada 2.0 … Is it really possible, though? Let’s break it down.
Despite the deficit, Barcelona comes into this game in strong domestic form. They top LaLiga and come off a 4-1 win over Villarreal, highlighted by Lamine Yamal’s first-career hat-trick. That boy eh… better oil dey him head. Over their last six matches in all competitions, they’ve scored 13 goals, conceded eight, and every game has produced over 2.5 goals, averaging 3.5 per fixture - a sign for where the online betting community might want to lean here.
The first-leg loss exposed defensive vulnerabilities, especially in transitions, while key players Eric Garcia, Andreas Christensen, Frenkie de Jong, and Robert Lewandowski remain unavailable. Positively, Marcus Rashford, Raphinha, and Pedri return, and Ferran Torres is expected to lead the line. So, there’s a lot to think about here. But, seeing as they have no choice but come out firing, similar to the Juventus vs. Galatasaray match last week, goals seem inevitable.
Recent head-to-head history suggests a goal-heavy encounter as well: the last six meetings averaged 4.33 goals, with five producing over 2.5 goals. Recent encounters have avoided draws, hinting at a decisive result.
Atletico Madrid arrive confident after a 1-0 win over Real Oviedo. Diego Simeone’s side have won four of their last six games, scoring 16 and conceding nine, with 83% of those fixtures featuring over 2.5 goals. In the first leg, they dominated Barcelona with goals from Antoine Griezmann, Ademola Lookman, and Julian Alvarez, plus an Eric Garcia own goal. Simeone is likely to stick with Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth up front, supported by Lookman, Koke, and Marcos Llorente in midfield. Defensively, Matteo Ruggeri, David Hancko, Marc Pubill, and Nahuel Molina provide stability, while Johnny Cardoso and Pablo Barrios are out injured.
I’m confident Barcelona will take the win over 90 minutes, but don’t get it twisted, I’m not saying they’ll complete the comeback. Handing Diego Simeone a 4-0 lead is a huge mistake, and I fully expect Atletico to play some ultra-defensive “haram ball” to protect it and lock in their spot in the final.
Still, there’s plenty of value for those looking to bet. Our bet of the day comes from the Bet Builder: a “Lamine Yamal to score + over 1.5 goals” in the match, a combo that could double your betting stake if it lands. Better sure 2 odds for mandem.
PS: If you want to bet on Barcelona delivering another Remontada, BetKing has that priced at 8.44 - the best odds among online sports betting sites.
With these two set to meet at the Molineux twice in just five days, Liverpool head to Wolves fresh off a chaotic 5–2 win over West Ham. That match was a perfect snapshot of the Reds right now; electric going forward and a little too easy to get at defensively. I can’t even lie, it annoyed me personally… how do you score five goals and Mo Salah doesn’t register a goal or assist? Make it make sense. Please, keep my FPL team in your thoughts.
That said, Wolves have already taken points off Arsenal, Manchester United, Newcastle and Aston Villa, which tells you everything. They might be staring at relegation, but they’re not rolling over for anyone. Still, if we’re keeping it simple, the smart and sensible play here is backing the visitors with the 1UP.
After making the Champions League final last season, the Nerazzurri would’ve been dreaming of going one better this time around, but that hope was crushed by a shock playoff exit to Bodo/Glimt. Still, the season is far from a write-off with a third domestic double very much on the table. In Serie A, they’re flying: unbeaten in 15, eight straight wins, and sitting 10 points clear at the summit. That domestic form will be needed against Cesc Fàbregas’ men.
Como are enjoying a brilliant second season back in the top flight. They’re currently fifth and just picked up statement wins over Juventus and Lecce in the last week. Now they get to host their first Coppa Italia semi-final in 40 years - that’s massive. The last time these two met, Inter ran out 4-0 winners. I’m not fully convinced about an away win here, but with it being the first leg, I can see it opening up a bit and goals at both ends.
Fresh off another win over the Blues that kept their five-point cushion at the top, Arsenal head to the Amex to face Brighton. The Gunners are unbeaten in their last five visits there, but let’s be honest, Brighton have consistently made life uncomfortable for Mikel Arteta and his side. It’s never straightforward against them.
That said, the 1UP for Arsenal still feels like the sensible play, and corners could once again be worth a look given how the Gunners rack them up. With an FA Cup 5th Round tie against Mansfield Town coming up on Saturday - a match they’re likely to rotate heavily for - I expect Arsenal to go full throttle on Wednesday night and try to get the job done here.
I feel like I’ve had a solid read on Manchester United under Carrick so far. Last week against Crystal Palace, I called the 1UP and backed Benjamin Šeško to score. Even when they went behind, I wasn’t rattled, it just felt like they’d find a way, and they did.
This time, however, I’m a little worried for Michael Carrick. I’ve got a feeling the Magpies might hand him his first defeat on Wednesday. With Harry Maguire and Luke Shaw now sidelined alongside Lisandro Martínez, that’s three of their first-choice back four missing. That’s not ideal against a team that can really hurt you.
They’ve looked sharp when playing once a week, but when the schedule tightened and they had two games in four days (against West Ham), it took a moment of magic from Šeško to scrape through. I know this won’t go down well with United fans, but I’ve got a bad feeling about this one. It might just be an L.
Both Aston Villa and Chelsea saw their Top 4 ambitions take a hit over the weekend. Villa were stunned by Wolves, while the Blues fell to Arsenal for the fourth time this season. That makes this game huge in the race for Champions League spots. Villa already got the better of Chelsea earlier in the campaign thanks to a second-half brace from Ollie Watkins, so they’ll believe they can finish the job and complete the double.
With Pedro Neto ruled out - arguably Chelsea’s most reliable attacker this season - it’s easy to see why Villa are slight favourites in what should be a tight contest. So, with all that in mind, the 1UP for the home side feels like the play. And considering each of the last five meetings between these teams has produced at least three goals, I wouldn’t be surprised if this one follows that same script.
Manchester City edged past Leeds United with a narrow win on Saturday, and they had to do it without their key man, Erling Haaland. In his absence, Antoine Semenyo stepped up again, grabbing his sixth goal for the Cityzens since arriving in the winter window. Haaland’s availability for this one is still up in the air, but either way, City know the assignment - they have to be close to flawless if they’re serious about chasing down Arsenal.
As for Nottingham Forest, their European run has been impressive, with a spot in the Europa League Round of 16 secured. Domestically though, it’s been a different story. They’re winless in five league matches and hovering just above the relegation zone, which is far from comfortable.
I still think Pep gets the job done here, but don’t expect fireworks. If it’s anything like the Leeds game, it’ll probably be tight, scrappy, and not the prettiest watch - just three points and move on. No long story.
With just one goal in their last four games across all competitions - including that Valentine’s Day 2-0 loss to Atalanta - Lazio head into this one with genuine concerns in attack. Zoom out a little further and it looks even worse: they’ve failed to score in five of their last eight in all competitions. That’s not a small dip, that’s a proper red flag.
Atalanta, for their part, are coming off a 2-1 defeat to Sassuolo, despite playing against 10 men for 74 minutes. Not ideal. But before that slip, they produced a statement 4-1 win over Borussia Dortmund to seal their place in the Round of 16 in the UCL. That kind of performance reminds you what they’re capable of.
Add in big wins this season over teams like Chelsea, Juventus, Frankfurt, and, of course, Dortmund, and it’s easy to see why Atalanta are favourites here. Plus, Lazio failed to score in both league meetings between the sides this season. That defensive confidence is a huge psychological edge which could end up being the difference again.
Over in the NBA, the San Antonio Spurs had their 11-game winning streak snapped on Sunday night at New York Knicks. After facing three Eastern Conference teams on the road in just five days, that loss was almost expected. Body no be firewood. With a couple of days to recover, I think they’ll be back on track when they visit the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Sixers will probably be without Joel Embiid, and we saw how big of a difference he makes. In Sunday’s 16-point loss to the Boston Celtics, they gave up 59 rebounds - 19 on the offensive glass. Now, just picture what Victor Wembanyama - a man who dominates the boards in basketball games with ease - will do against them. It’s going to be a tough night for Philly.
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