by Chike Nwoye
The title races might be wrapped up across Europe, but there’s still some drama in the race for Champions League qualification. We’ll break down what’s on the line heading into the final day of the Premier League, and take a trip to Italy where three key Serie A results could decide not just who’s heading to the UCL, but also who’s getting the boot to Serie B. And speaking of the drop, we’ll wrap things up in Spain with a look at the bottom four in LaLiga — all facing each other in a survival showdown.
The title races might be wrapped up across Europe, but there’s still some drama in the race for Champions League qualification. We’ll break down what’s on the line heading into the final day of the Premier League, and take a trip to Italy where three key Serie A results could decide not just who’s heading to the UCL, but also who’s getting the boot to Serie B. And speaking of the drop, we’ll wrap things up in Spain with a look at the bottom four in LaLiga — all facing each other in a survival showdown.
Our Picks:
One of the standout games on the final day has Nottingham Forest taking on Chelsea, and with just a point between them, there’s a lot riding on this. If Forest win and Villa slip up against United, they could sneak into the Champions League. At worst, they’d land a Europa League spot. For Chelsea, the task is simple — win, and they’re in the UCL. Both sides need the three points, which makes this one a real thriller.
No shock then that Anthony Taylor’s been put in charge, although that decision hasn’t gone down well in Nottingham. Forest fans still haven’t forgotten his performance in their 2-0 loss to Everton back in April last year when he ignored three strong penalty shouts, all involving Ashley Young.
Chelsea have been the more in-form team, winning four of their last five in the league. That said, their away form has been shaky, with just one win from their last five on the road. They’ll take some comfort from their record against Forest, though; only one loss in their last seven meetings (3D 3W). I fully expect both managers to play this safe simply because the stakes are too high to go all guns blazing. With this in mind, my betting tips are a low-scoring affair, but Forest finding the net at some point.
The question isn’t if Manchester United will lose; the question is how many goals they’ll lose by. The Red Devils’ suffered a morale-crushing defeat in the Europa League final to Spurs which denied them a backdoor entry into the Champions League next season. That defeat was their 20th in all competitions this season; their most in a campaign since losing 22 in 1973-74, when they were relegated from the top-flight.
I probably don’t even need to throw in other stats that show just how bad they are. Stats like “Man Utd have conceded the first goal in their last 4 games” or “Man Utd have lost 7 of their last 11 league games at Old Trafford”.
As for Villa, they know what they have to do; beat United and cross their fingers that Chelsea don’t win at Forest. I expect they’ll get the job done on their end. Ollie Watkins feels like the man for the moment, and if you’re placing a bet, the Bet Builder feature might be your best friend here.
Alexander Isak was unavailable when Newcastle visited Arsenal last week and his absence was felt as the Magpies struggled to create any meaningful threat against the Gunners, especially in the second half. Ahead of the final game of the season, his fitness is still up in the air, and that’s a big concern.
Newcastle are sitting 4th, tied on 66 points with Chelsea (5th) and Villa (6th), so anything less than a win on Sunday could see them slide into a Europa League spot. One positive, though, is their scoring at home. In their last five games at St. James’ Park, they’ve scored in every single half — that’s 10 halves with at least a goal. (I know Manchester United would kill for that). Isak’s been a big reason for that, sure, but it still shows they can turn it on when needed.
As for Everton, they’re already locked into 13th, so there’s technically nothing on the line. Still, don’t rule out a bit of mischief; they’ve won their last two games and could be out to spoil the party. That said, their final-day form isn’t great: just one win in their last eight Matchday 38 outings. I think Newcastle wins this.
Fulham haven’t beaten Man City in the Premier League since April 2009. Since then, they’ve drawn 3 and lost 16, including the last 14 straight. Just to put that into context, their last win over City (which was under Roy Hodgson, by the way) came when Michael Jackson was still alive, Obama had just stepped into the White House, and Bitcoin had just hit the internet. Wild, right? Thinking about it now, if only I had the foresight to buy 10 Bitcoins back then (which would have cost less than $10), I’d probably be sipping palm wine in my country home by now.
Anyway, there’s still a shot at winning big this weekend. Okay, maybe not Bitcoin-big, but definitely worth a flutter. Man City love playing Fulham, and you can expect them to keep that winning streak alive… probably with a few goals thrown in too, and we have the best odds for that on BetKing.
Tottenham just broke their 17-year trophy drought and clinched a Champions League spot, so yeah, the atmosphere at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this Sunday is going to be wild when Brighton come through.
Honestly, I wouldn’t be shocked if Spurs show up hungover and end up losing — and really, who could blame them? Seventeen years is a long wait. The last time they lifted a trophy, Lamine Yamal was still in diapers… now the kid has five titles to his name. If there was ever a time for a team to over-celebrate, it’s now. We already saw Brighton pull off a win against a Liverpool side with nothing left to fight for. My bet of the day? Same script, different stadium.
Torino have nothing left to fight for on the final day, and you have to wonder if they might quietly down their tools this weekend, especially as it could mean disaster for their local rivals Juventus. Roma sit 5th, just a point behind Juve, who are clinging to the last Champions League spot and have a tricky away trip to Venezia, a team desperate to avoid the drop. Roma could really use a win here, and I’m calling it now — they get the job done.
Truth is, though, they probably don’t need any favours to make that happen. Roma have only lost once in their last 10 league games against Torino, with 7 wins and 2 draws in that stretch. On top of that, they’ve been Italy’s most in-form side lately, winning 15 of their last 21 matches. For our online betting community, Roma to win feels like a no-brainer.
Like I said earlier, Juventus have to win this one or risk ending the season with stories that touch. If they slip up and Roma beats Torino, it’s Europa League nights instead of Champions League lights for the Old Lady.
But it’s not just Juve with something on the line, Venezia are fighting for their lives. Sitting 19th, they need a win here and hope both Empoli and Lecce both lose to pull off a great escape on the final day. It’s the kind of drama Serie A loves to deliver. Don’t forget, when these two faced off in December, Venezia almost pulled off a shocker, only for Juve to snatch a point thanks to a 95th-minute Vlahović penalty.
My gut feeling is that this one ends in a draw as well — a tense, low-scoring draw that leaves both sides heartbroken.
There’s a lot at stake in this one, too. If Lazio (6th) grab all three points and both Juventus and Roma lose, the Biancocelesti would jump ahead of both and snatch the final Champions League spot. On the flip side, the visitors are in full survival mode. Sitting 17th and just one point above the drop zone, a win guarantees safety for Leece. But if they lose and either Empoli or Venezia win… it’s straight down to Serie B.
On paper, Lazio are clearly the stronger team. In 17 Serie A meetings, they’ve only lost to Lecce once and have won 11. The last time these two met back in December, Lecce played the entire second half with 10 men after Frederic Guilbert got sent off right before the break. They almost held on for a draw, but Lazio’s Adam Marušić struck late in the 87th minute to seal it. Tough luck, Lecce — this might not go your way. You better hope Empoli and Venezia don’t come through.
The relegation battle in Spain has an interesting twist; all four teams at the bottom are playing each other. Las Palmas and Valladolid are already down, but they still have a role to play in who joins them. Espanyol just need a draw to stay up, but playing for a point is always risky.
Las Palmas actually beat them 1-0 in December, so this isn’t some walk in the park. That said, Espanyol have a strong home record against them, winning five of their last six competitive meetings in their backyard, including a 4-0 thumping in April 2021 back in the second division.
Leganés, meanwhile, are walking a tightrope. They have to win and hope Espanyol lose. Just a few weeks ago, it looked like their fate was sealed, but wins over Espanyol (Matchday 35) and Las Palmas (Matchday 37) have kept their hopes alive. Their last clash with Valladolid ended in a draw, but I think they have all the momentum right now. So, I’m backing them to win. Will it be enough to survive? Not sure. But they’ll hold up their end.
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